Why NuScale Power (SMR) Is Down 7.4% After Mounting Delays, Weak Results And No Firm Contracts

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  • In recent days, NuScale Power has faced renewed scrutiny as project delays, weak operational results, class action lawsuits, and the absence of binding customer contracts underscored how far it remains from large-scale commercial deployment of its small modular reactors.

  • Despite holding a first-of-its-kind U.S. regulatory approval and an exclusive global commercialization partner, NuScale’s extended timeline to first power delivery and unresolved execution risks are increasingly at odds with rising nuclear demand from AI data centers.

  • We’ll now consider how NuScale’s ongoing project delays and lack of firm contracts reshape the earlier investment narrative built around accelerated commercialization.

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NuScale Power Investment Narrative Recap

To own NuScale today, you have to believe its licensed small modular reactor design and global partnerships will eventually translate into meaningful, contracted revenues despite long lead times and heavy losses. The latest news around project delays, lack of binding contracts and a deeper first quarter loss sharpens the near term catalyst around securing a first firm customer agreement, while amplifying the key risk that commercialization timelines and cash burn stretch beyond current expectations.

Against this backdrop, NuScale’s exclusive commercialization arrangement with ENTRA1 Energy remains central. ENTRA1 is positioned as the vehicle for potential large scale deployments and behind the meter projects for AI data centers, yet the absence of binding power purchase agreements and clarity on project schedules now matters more for how investors think about the timing and reliability of those hoped for deployments.

Yet behind NuScale’s promise of first of a kind SMRs and AI driven power demand, investors should be aware of unresolved execution risks around ENTRA1 and TVA…

Read the full narrative on NuScale Power (it’s free!)

NuScale Power’s narrative projects $389.8 million revenue and $42.8 million earnings by 2029.

Uncover how NuScale Power’s forecasts yield a $15.36 fair value, a 70% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

SMR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
SMR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Before this setback, the most optimistic analysts were modeling revenue near US$941.3 million and earnings of about US$111.3 million by 2028, which sits in clear tension with today’s project delays and highlights just how wide your assumptions can be compared with the more cautious view that ENTRA1 and TVA might never scale as originally envisioned.

Explore 20 other fair value estimates on NuScale Power – why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include SMR.

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